Strategy Database
Filterable reference library. Each strategy includes thesis, signals, risk notes, and implementation guidance.
Dual Momentum Equity
BacktestOutperform by switching between equities and cash (or bonds) when relative and absolute momentum favor the switch.
Instruments: SPY, AGG, cash·Horizon: monthly·Signals: 12m absolute momentum, 12m relative momentum vs AGGRisk: Max drawdown ~20% in backtests; regime shift risk.
Refs: 9Updated 2025-02-15Trend Following (Futures)
BacktestCapture sustained moves across commodities, rates, FX, and equity indices using normalized price breakout signals.
Instruments: ES, NQ, CL, GC, ZN, 6E, DX·Horizon: daily·Signals: Donchian breakout, ATR-normalized entryRisk: Drawdowns 15–30% in backtests; diversification across markets essential.
Refs: 8Updated 2025-02-14Vol Targeting (Multi-Asset)
BacktestTarget a stable portfolio volatility by scaling exposure to a diversified multi-asset basket inversely to realized vol.
Instruments: SPY, TLT, GLD, DBC, FX·Horizon: daily·Signals: 20d realized vol, target vol 10%Risk: Leverage increases in low-vol regimes; drawdown when vol spikes.
Refs: 8Updated 2025-02-11FX Carry
BacktestEarn the interest rate differential by going long high-yield and short low-yield currencies, with vol scaling.
Instruments: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/JPY, MXN/JPY·Horizon: daily·Signals: 3m forward points, interest rate differentialRisk: Carry unwinds in risk-off; correlation with equity stress.
Refs: 4Updated 2025-02-12Mean Reversion (Russell 2000)
BacktestSmall caps overshoot on short-term moves; fade extreme z-scores over 5–10 days for mean reversion edge.
Instruments: IWM, RTY·Horizon: daily·Signals: 5d return z-score, RSIRisk: Blow-up risk in strong trends; use strict stop and size limits.
Refs: 4Updated 2025-02-10Sector Rotation (Momentum)
BacktestRotate into sectors with strongest relative momentum (e.g. 3–6m) and out of weakest; rebalance monthly.
Instruments: XLK, XLF, XLE, XLV, XLI, XLP, XLY, XLB, XLRE, XLC, XLU·Horizon: monthly·Signals: 3m/6m sector return rank, relative strength vs SPYRisk: Concentration risk in few sectors; underperforms in rapid rotation.
Refs: 3Updated 2025-02-09Cross-Asset Momentum
BacktestRank assets across equities, bonds, commodities, FX by 12m momentum; long top quartile, short bottom quartile.
Instruments: SPY, TLT, GLD, DBC, UUP, EFA, EEM·Horizon: monthly·Signals: 12m total return, cross-sectional rankRisk: Correlation in drawdowns; need liquid instruments and execution.
Refs: 2Updated 2025-02-07Statistical Arbitrage (Pairs)
BacktestTrade the spread between cointegrated pairs when it deviates from the equilibrium; exit at mean reversion or stop.
Instruments: ETF pairs, sector ETFs, single-name pairs·Horizon: daily·Signals: spread z-score, half-life of reversionRisk: Cointegration breaks; one leg can gap; liquidity in both legs critical.
Refs: 2Updated 2025-02-08Commodity Roll Yield
BacktestCapture roll yield in backwardated commodity futures by holding front-month (or optimized roll) with vol scaling.
Instruments: CL, NG, GC, SI, HG, ZW, ZC·Horizon: monthly·Signals: term structure (contango/backwardation), roll yieldRisk: Contango erodes returns; single-commodity risk; roll timing matters.
Refs: 1Updated 2025-02-04Crypto Momentum (BTC/ETH)
IdeaApply simple momentum (e.g. 20d/55d MA cross or 12m trend) to BTC and ETH with strict vol cap and size limits.
Instruments: BTC, ETH, BTC-USD, ETH-USD·Horizon: daily·Signals: 20/55 MA crossover, 12m momentumRisk: Extreme vol and drawdowns; exchange and custody risk; regulatory uncertainty.
Refs: 0Updated 2025-02-05Macro Rates Trend
BacktestFollow trend in rates (e.g. 10Y yield or bond futures) with vol-scaled position; capture sustained rate moves.
Instruments: ZN, ZB, TY, US10Y·Horizon: daily·Signals: Moving average crossover, ATR-normalized positionRisk: Central bank regime shifts cause whipsaws; rate volatility spikes.
Refs: 0Updated 2025-02-06Vol Sell (Equity Options)
BacktestSell volatility (e.g. covered calls or put spreads) when implied vol is rich vs realized; manage tail with defined risk.
Instruments: SPX, SPY, QQQ, options·Horizon: daily·Signals: IV vs RV (VIX vs realized), term structureRisk: Short vol carries tail risk; black-swan events can wipe out premium.
Refs: 0Updated 2025-02-03