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Cross-Asset Momentum

Rank assets across equities, bonds, commodities, FX by 12m momentum; long top quartile, short bottom quartile.

backtestUpdated 2025-02-07

Thesis (edge)

Momentum exists across asset classes. A cross-sectional long/short portfolio based on 12m momentum, vol-scaled, captures the premium while diversifying across assets.

Where it works (regimes)

Works in trending regimes across assets. Can have large drawdowns when many assets reverse together (e.g. 2009, 2020).

Signals

  • ( r_{12}(i) ) for each asset ( i ). Rank. Long top quartile, short bottom quartile. Scale by inverse vol.

Portfolio construction

Equal risk contribution or equal dollar within long and short. Rebalance monthly. Max single-asset weight.

Risk model

Tail: correlated reversal. Stress: 2009 reversal. Use vol targeting and possibly trend filter.

Costs & implementation

Moderate turnover. Use ETFs or futures for liquidity. Consider implementation delay (e.g. next-day rebalance).

Failure modes

Overfitting formation period; ignoring transaction costs; illiquid names.

Our Notes & Suggestions

Use liquid, tradeable instruments only. Backtest with 6m and 12m; consider skip-month to reduce crowding. Monitor correlation of longs and shorts.

Our Notes & Suggestions

See the "Our Notes" subsection in the body above for practical guidance, gotchas, and best practices. Always validate regime assumptions and transaction cost assumptions before scaling.

Implementation Checklist

  • Define universe and 12m return calculation
  • Rank; long top 25%, short bottom 25%
  • Vol-scale positions; rebalance monthly
  • Transaction cost and capacity check

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